How should we think about the role of luck in our lives? What do we control, what do we not – and can we learn to tell the difference? This talk examines common human biases in thinking about chance – tendencies like the illusion of control, the optimism bias, and overconfidence – and strives to help us untangle illusion from reality, to become better, more balanced decision makers.
Maria Konnikova is the New York Times–best-selling author of The Confidence Game (Viking/Penguin, 2016). Her first book, Mastermind: How to Think Like Sherlock Holmes (Viking/Penguin, 2013), has been translated into eighteen languages.
This talk took place at CSICon Las Vegas on Friday, October 2017.